Human Signal Index
Transparency

Forecast accountability

We record forecasts before outcomes are known, then evaluate them against reality. Here is the honest scorecard — including the ones we got wrong.

0
Active
0
Resolved
0
Correct
0
Incorrect
0%
Accuracy
0/100
Calibration
0%
Resolution rate
0
Expired

Calibration curve

Stated confidence vs actual accuracy, per band. Well-calibrated = the two match.

No resolved forecasts yet.

Accuracy trend

  • Sep 2, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 3, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 4, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 5, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 6, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 7, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 8, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 9, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 10, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0
  • Sep 11, 2026accuracy 0% · calibration 0 · volume 0

Resolution timeline

No resolved forecasts yet.

Active forecasts

No active forecasts.